Blue Bird Corp Stock Analysis

BLBD Stock  USD 62.01  1.43  2.36%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Blue Bird Corp extending back to March 20, 2014. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Blue Bird stands at 62.01, as last reported on the 24th of February, with the highest price reaching 62.14 and the lowest price hitting 60.32 during the day.
IPO Date
20th of March 2014
200 Day MA
49.9807
50 Day MA
51.7155
Beta
1.426
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Blue Bird Corp has over 90.32 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. At present, Blue Bird's Long Term Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 175.3 M, whereas Short Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 5.5 M. Blue Bird's financial risk is the risk to Blue Bird stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Blue Bird's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Blue Bird's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Blue Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Blue Bird's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Blue Bird, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Blue Bird Corp, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Blue Bird's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
7.688
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.69
Price Sales
1.2775
Shares Float
31.2 M
Wall Street Target Price
66.75
At present, Blue Bird's Other Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments is expected to grow to about 2.7 M, whereas Common Stock is forecasted to decline to 2,565. . At present, Blue Bird's Price To Book Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Fair Value is expected to grow to 1,407, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (9.12).
Blue Bird Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 55.39 and Target Price of 66.75. The main objective of Blue Bird stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Blue Bird Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Blue Bird's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Blue Bird stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Blue Bird's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Blue Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Blue Bird Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the October 4, 2010. Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia. Blue Bird operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1702 people. For more info on Blue Bird Corp please contact Philip Horlock at 478 822 2801 or go to https://www.blue-bird.com.

Blue Bird Quarterly Total Revenue

333.08 Million

Blue Bird Corp Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Blue Bird's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Blue Bird Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Blue Bird Signs Deal to Gain Full Ownership of Micro Bird

Blue Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Blue Bird's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-05-12
2021-03-310.080.05-0.0337 
2022-08-10
2022-06-30-0.05-0.09-0.0480 
2017-02-09
2016-12-31-0.09-0.13-0.0444 
View All Earnings Estimates

Blue Bird Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Blue Bird's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Blue Bird's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Blue Bird's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Blue Bird's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Blue Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
771.7 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
613.4 K
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
578.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
569 K
Neumeier Investment Counsel Llc2025-06-30
447.4 K
Nuveen, Llc2025-06-30
438.5 K
Hhg Plc2025-06-30
399.9 K
Intrinsic Edge Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
381.6 K
Oberweis Asset Management Inc2025-06-30
373.4 K
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
4.7 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
2.5 M
Note, although Blue Bird's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Blue Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.92 B.

Blue Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.09 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed(155.24)(147.48)
Return On Assets(11.08)(10.53)
Return On Equity(154.28)(146.57)

Management Efficiency

Blue Bird Corp has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1836 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1836 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.5753 %, meaning that it created $0.5753 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Blue Bird's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Blue Bird manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Return On Capital Employed is projected to grow to (147.48). At present, Blue Bird's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 26.8 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 183 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.01  0.01 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(23.82)(22.63)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.95)(5.65)
Price Book Value Ratio1.3 K1.4 K
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.95)(5.65)
Price Fair Value1.3 K1.4 K
Enterprise Value739.9 M440.5 M
Blue Bird's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Operating Margin
0.113
Profit Margin
0.0865
Beta
1.426
Return On Assets
0.1836
Return On Equity
0.5753

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of February, Blue Bird shows the Mean Deviation of 1.72, downside deviation of 2.44, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1087. Blue Bird Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Blue Bird Corp jensen alpha, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Blue Bird Corp is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 62.01 per share. Given that Blue Bird has jensen alpha of 0.2921, we suggest you to validate Blue Bird Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Blue Bird Corp Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Triangular Moving Average shows Blue Bird double smoothed mean price over a specified number of previous prices (i.e., averaged twice).

Blue Bird Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Blue Bird insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Blue Bird's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Blue Bird insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Razvan Radulescu 2 days ago
Disposition of 19171 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 42.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeff Sanfrey over two months ago
Insider Trading
 
Razvan Radulescu over two months ago
Disposition of 7984 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 50. subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeff Sanfrey over two months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over two months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jeff Sanfrey over three months ago
Insider Trading

Blue Bird Outstanding Bonds

Blue Bird issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Blue Bird Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Blue bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Blue Bird Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Blue Bird Predictive Daily Indicators

Blue Bird intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Blue Bird stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Blue Bird Corporate Filings

F4
20th of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
17th of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
13th of February 2026
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
5th of February 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
4th of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
26th of January 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
15th of January 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
29th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Blue Bird Forecast Models

Blue Bird's time-series forecasting models are one of many Blue Bird's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Blue Bird's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Blue Bird Bond Ratings

Blue Bird Corp financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Blue Bird have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Blue Bird's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(3.82)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Blue Bird Corp Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Blue Bird, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Blue Bird Corp currently holds 90.32 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 9.94, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Blue Bird Corp has a current ratio of 1.39, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Blue Bird's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Blue Bird Total Assets Over Time

Blue Bird Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Blue Bird uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Blue Bird Debt Ratio

    
  46.0   
It looks as if about 54% of Blue Bird's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Blue Bird's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Blue Bird, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Blue Bird Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Blue bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Blue Bird Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Blue Net Debt

Net Debt

(151.85 Million)

At present, Blue Bird's Net Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About Blue Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Blue Bird prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Blue shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Blue Bird. By using and applying Blue Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Blue entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.13  0.10 

Current Blue Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Blue analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Blue analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
66.75Strong Buy7Odds
Blue Bird Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Blue analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Blue stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Blue Bird Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Blue conference calls.
Blue Analyst Advice Details

Blue Stock Analysis Indicators

Blue Bird Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Blue Bird stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Blue Bird shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Blue Bird stock analysis, traders can identify Blue Bird position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow127.7 M
Long Term Debt85.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity255.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-23.9 M
Tax Provision43.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.093
Property Plant And Equipment Net108.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments229.3 M
Cash229.3 M
Accounts Payable151.5 M
Net Debt-139 M
50 Day M A51.7155
Total Current Liabilities236.8 M
Other Operating Expenses1.3 B
Non Current Assets Total213.6 M
Forward Price Earnings13.1234
Non Currrent Assets Other6.7 M
Stock Based Compensation14.8 M

Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis

When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation